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Crown Green Handicap

Terry Dooley

Team: St Mary's (Billinge) BDivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

949

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

36

Matches Played

22

Wins

14

Losses

61%

Win Rate

9.0

Avg Win Margin

9.9

Avg Loss Margin

14-5

Home Record

8-9

Away Record

1%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
5 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/5/2024

Only 5 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 1511/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2022
10-Game Streak11 in a row
Home Dominance10/10 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 36 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 Apr31 May12 Jul23 Aug25 Apr6 Jun1 Aug5 Sept-14916

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.08
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
11.5
score+0.58→contribution+0.15
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
14.0
score-1.00→contribution-0.15
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
900
score-0.30→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.134
Sample Size Confidence
1%(5/41 matches)
Rating960 → shrunk 999→ adjusted 949
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)949
Recency Blend7% (5 recent matches)
Final Rating949
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

22W14L36 matches·61.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
St Mary's (Billinge) B2022–2024Division 1, Division 2, Division 336221461.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/5/2024Norman AthertonH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
9/3/2024Mike MullenH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
8/27/2024Dave WebsterA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
8/6/2024David BarrowA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
7/30/2024David ThompsonH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 1
8/1/2023Liam RogersH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2023Keith MakinH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023Alan WoodsH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023Colin JonesA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023D FrenchA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Stephen TinsleyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
5/23/2023Dave RogersA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2023Jeff HextH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023Geoff FosterA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2023Brian EllisA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023Brian ForsythH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023Keith BrothwoodA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
10/4/2022Dennis MussellH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2022John PickavanceA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022James HopkinsA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2022John StampH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
8/9/2022Paul LeylandA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
8/2/2022Dave AshcroftH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
7/19/2022Robert PageH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
7/12/2022George MontgomeryA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
7/5/2022Bill AssonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
6/28/2022Dave OllertonA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
6/21/2022John PickavanceH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
6/14/2022James HopkinsH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
5/31/2022Ron LambH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
5/25/2022G WebsterA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
5/10/2022Peter McKennaA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022Peter PeersH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2022James RobertsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
4/19/2022Steve GloverH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2022Jim McMahonA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

11

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
WLLLWWLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
John Pickavance11250%8/30/2022
James Hopkins202100%8/23/2022
Norman Atherton101100%9/5/2024
Mike Mullen0110%9/3/2024
Dave Webster0110%8/27/2024
David Barrow0110%8/6/2024
David Thompson101100%7/30/2024
Liam Rogers101100%8/1/2023
Keith Makin0110%7/18/2023
Alan Woods0110%7/4/2023
Biggest Win
Liam Rogers (+17)8/1/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Mike Mullen (-15)9/3/2024
Best Season
202284% · 19 matches
Worst Season
202333% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
83% → 39%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
80536 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-233% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
21-1264% win rate

By Division

Division 316-3 (84%)
Division 24-8 (33%)
Division 12-3 (40%)
Division 140%
2W·3L·5 played
Division 233.3%
4W·8L·12 played
Division 384.2%
16W·3L·19 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 5, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (2.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

12.0 (36 total)

Seasons

202220232024